Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Obama Morning Break. Missouri is REALLY a toss up state.

Barack in Toledo, Ohio


Missouri, No Joke

I never thought that Barack could win Missouri on primary night, February 5, 2008. Hillary Clinton's campaign came out and said they won Missouri, but it was and always IS, St. Louis County, Missouri that always comes in LAST, that slowly but steadily put Obama over the top in Missouri. The Show Me State, showed Barack love and he was the one who won Missouri in the primaries.

Over the months, McCain's lead was solid, but since this economic crisis McCain's lead in Missouri has eroded and this is virtually a toss-up state.

The most interesting poll is the SUSA Missouri Poll which has Obama up 8 points. I, personally find this an outlier, but it may just be right.

Obama supporters attribute his recent success in the polls to the expensive grassroots organization in Missouri created by his campaign.

They also say economic policies that redistribute the nation's wealth to help struggling middle-class families is attracting women supporters who had been on the fence following Obama's victory over Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary.

"I feel confident that the women of Missouri are all going to join with us and we're going to elect Barack Obama," Democratic state Auditor Susan Montee said Monday in a conference call with reporters.

Obama's ground game is killing McCain's efforts. Any Republican or Democrat must admit that McCain did not use his time during the Democratic Primaries wisely. He did not build any infrastructure in these battleground states, underestimated Obama's appeal, thought this campaign would be about Iraq and National Security and just did not imagine the battleground map would expand outside of the regular battleground states and is totally unprepared for it.

Lastly, like primary night in Missouri, the African-American vote must come out November 4th for Obama to win Missouri. Period.


Joe Biden on Hardball with Chris Matthews


Poll: Obama leads in 3 of 4 key Bush counties
Barack Obama has erased traditional Republican advantages in four key bellwether counties that President George W. Bush won in 2000 and 2004, according to a new Politico/InsiderAdvantage survey. Each county is critical to the outcome in the battleground state where it is located.

In Reno, Nevada's Washoe County, Obama leads McCain by a 46-45 percent margin, with six percent undecided. Obama posts a wider 50-44 percent lead with five percent undecided in Raleigh, North Carolina's Wake County, and another 6-point lead in Hillsborough County, Fla., where Tampa is located. There, he edges McCain 47-41 percent, with 11 percent undecided.

Among the four counties tested, McCain leads in only one: Jefferson County, Colo., a populous Denver suburb. McCain is ahead there by a margin of 45-43 percent, with eight percent undecided.

At first glance, these Politico/InsiderAdvantage numbers might not look so troubling for McCain, who trailed Obama by 10 points in an ABC/Washington Post national survey, released Monday. continue


GOP Preparing for the Worst


Who's in control of McCain's campaign?

John McCain’s campaign is pretty much a shambles right now.

If you don’t believe me, just listen to John McCain. His chief goal these days is calming down his crowds, not firing them up.

And that is an honorable thing to do. It may not be a winning thing to do. But it is honorable.

Sarah Palin, once seen as a huge plus to the ticket, is now increasingly emerging as a liability.

Forget that an independent legislative panel found Friday that she had abused her power and violated ethics laws as governor of Alaska. Forget that with the possibility of Palin being a heartbeat away from the presidency, McCain gives up the argument that his ticket represents experience and a steady hand on the tiller.

The real problem for McCain is that Palin is running a separate — and scary — campaign that does not seem to be under anybody’s control.

She storms around the country saying: “Our opponent ... is someone who sees America, it seems, as being so imperfect, imperfect enough that he’s palling around with terrorists who would target their own country.”

She also says: “This is not a man who sees America as you see America and as I see America.”

Get the drift? Obama is not only different, not only an alien incapable of loving his country, he is an actual friend of terrorists who would attack America. continue

David Plouffe, Campaign Manager Update



Larry King: Strategies To Win (Video)

Schlepping to Florida for Obama (Video)

Voter Registration in North Carolina

Jobs, Baby, Jobs

McCain is looking for another comeback


Campaign Appearances


Joe: Warren, OH; St. Clairesville, OH; Marietta, OH


Michelle: Fort Wayne, Indiana

Joe: Newark, OH; Athens, OH; Lancaster, OH


Barack: Londonderry, NH


Campaign Strategies

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