The NBC/WSJ Poll is out and it is Obama 47 to McCain 41. Obama gained a +6 point advantage over McCain and post Clinton.
A few nuggets.
Change vs. Experience: 54 - 42
Many can read much into this because McCain is running around here waving he is the change candidate. Overall, good for Obama and bad for McCain. McCain need to figure out how to break from Bush. That one coupling his record is in line with Bush is going to be hard.
Who do you think will win?
Obama 54 and McCain 30
Again, caution this is a very early poll these numbers will tighten by October. As we saw all through 2007, Clinton lead in every poll. If you believed all those poll numbers she would be the nominee. But it is encouraging.
Suburban Women preferred Clinton 47 to 36, over McCain. Obama has some work to do here, his numbers are 44-38 with the advantage to McCain. Again, this may also be too early since Clinton left the race. If we see the numbers improve on the next poll, then it was an emotional number, but if not Obama has WORK TO DO.
White Men prefer McCain 55-35. This number is why Obama leads by only 6 pts, which is out of the MOE (margin of error).
This is what keeps Obama in the game:
In the head-to-head matchup, Obama leads McCain among African Americans (83-7 percent), Hispanics (62-28), women (52-33), Catholics (47-40), independents (41-36) and even blue-collar workers (47-42). Obama is also ahead among those who said they voted for Clinton in the Democratic primaries (61-19).
Again this is a good sign for Obama, but we have got a LOT OF WORK to do. Meaning we need to get as many folks registered to vote. The Obama Campaign launched the VOTE FOR CHANGE DRIVE, find out how to get involved with the campaign's 50 State Voter Registration Drive, here.
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this is california.....
Today I did a test. I called some friends around the country and asked them about gas prices. For starters, my sister immediately knew how much the gas was in her area, her answer, "4.10." Grant it, I did not ask how much is the gas there, I just wanted to know if it has changed how she operate with her 4 kids on a day-to-day basis. She told me, "I have got it down to doing everything in one swoop, if something gets missed, it has to wait. No more jumping in my car again." Then my brother weighed in. Again he took me down a different path and it was about SUVs. He told me that a co-worker went to 4 different dealers to trade his Navigator in, I know gas guzzler and said that 3 of the 4 dealerships refused the trade in. This was the first I had heard of THIS. So, it just goes to validate this story. And I talked to a couple of friends in California. One who lives in Los Angeles, who told me that he has started to ride his bike five miles to work. He loves the exercise, but plainly said the gas prices are killing him.
Overall, my conclusion is this for anyone voting for McCain:
IF YOU LIKE THIS ECONOMY,
IF YOULIKE THIS NEVER-ENDING WAR,
IF LIKE PAYING HIGH GAS PRICES,
IF LIKE THE TAX BREAKS FOR THE RICH,
IF YOU CAN'T WAIT TO INVADE IRAN,
IF YOU LIKE HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT,
IF YOU LOOK FORWARD TO THE END OF ROE V. WADE.
IF YOU LIKE THE UNFAIR TRADE POLICIES THAT SEND JOBS AND TECHNOLOGY OVERSEAS,
IF YOU LIKE A GOVERNMENT THAT PRACTICES TORTURE,
IF YOU LIKE A GOVERNMENT THAT SPIES ON ITS OWN CITIZEN,
IF YOU LIKE THE FACT THAT THE US IS ONE OF THE MOST REVILED NATIONS ON THE PLANET, THEN YOU'LL JUST LOVE McCAIN.
This election will be about our economic interest, bad news for the Republicans.
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The McCain big snafu on The Today Show about bringing the troops home, "not that important":
Which is why I agree with this:
His answer to the question was clear. It is irrelevant how many troops are there. Things are going well in Iraq, he claims, therefore we have to stay indefinitely and not even TALK about bringing the troops home. But remember that one year ago, his answer was the same; things were going badly in Iraq, therefore we needed to send MORE troops over!
This interview should make it crystal clear to every red-blooded American that in John McCain's world-view of all-war-all-the-time, THE TROOPS WILL NEVER BE COMING HOME FROM IRAQ. If things are good, we will stay. If things are bad, we will stay. War is the answer to every problem. Sure he says "he hates war." But his purported hatred of war doesn't influence his decisionmaking in any way. In my view McSame is simply reliving his Vietnam experience. He doesn't think we should have left Vietnam either, even though there was no end or goal in sight, and damned if he's going to do the same with Iraq. No, we have to achieve "honor" and "glory" and "victory"--even though he can't tell us what that is.
If anyone think or even assume that we are out of Iraq sooner with McCain, think again. I will even take this one notch further, we can't continue rotating the same men of our guard/reserve units continuously, I see and smell a draft coming with McCain. And finally, Senator John Kerry (D-MA) speaks to Keith about this.
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John Cusack challenges us to take the Bush-McCain Challenge...
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Is Georgia on the table y'all??????
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Oh, that E.D. Hill from Fox News and her announcing that the Obama fist pound was a "terroist jab?" Well, she is canned.
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Obama's VP VETTER, the Chief, has resigned.
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Obama "Change that Works for You" in Chicago, IL...going after the credit card companies
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....the Clinton's Enemies List continuous blather....
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and John McCain doesn't know how to use a computer. Really he does not. Does that qualify for being out of touch? Oh, kos weighs in on this:
How can a candidate who admits he is stuck in the 20th century lead a country in the 21st, when he lacks even the most basic understanding of how this brave new century operates? He doesn't know how people interact and communicate. He doesn't know have the faintest idea of how they work. And this from the guy who once chaired the commerce committee!
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and the Clinton supporters may not be falling in love, but they're falling in line.
oh, the women per gallup polling are coming back to Obama....