Romney & Ryan: This is what you get when you threaten Seniors Medicare, Social Security

Evaporation in the poll numbers. Based on new polling by Reuters/Ipsos the 20 point cushion that the Romney and Ryan had is blown.

New polling by Reuters/Ipsos indicates that during the past two weeks - since just after the Democratic National Convention - support for Romney among Americans age 60 and older has crumbled, from a 20-point lead over Democratic President Barack Obama to less than 4 points.

Seriously, many on this site have senior parents, family members, along with being informed seniors, themselves. If there is ONE THING that seniors listen to from any politician is any tinkering with Medicare, Social Security, and Medicaid. This is absolutely astounding that the Romney/Ryan campaign can not hear anything about this when it comes to seniors. And having Paul Ryan out at that AARP Convention was a death knell to this campaign. Those seniors resoundingly booed Ryan and many walked out.

Seniors 60+, overall are Romney voters, but when you attack the services they enjoy and want for future generations, you become a magnet for these voters to pull the lever for the other guy.

Romney's selection of Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate put the federal budget and Medicare at center stage in the campaign. But the debate over spending and entitlement programs that Romney seemed to be seeking has not unfolded the way Republicans wanted.

The Romney Campaign really wanted this discussion, well here it is, poll numbers and all.

Full speech from Paul Ryan to the AARP Convention, below:

10:38 AM PT: This is FDR in 1936 and his warning about the GOP was just as relevant then as it is today:

More polling data to back up the Romney/Ryan senior erosion, here.

Cross-posted @ Daily Kos

Obama up 50% in CO, IA and WI (NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll)

Seriously, how can Mitt ROBBED ME really think he can NOT campaign and win a presidency?

Anyway, here:

President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney in Colorado, Iowa and Wisconsin, reaching the key 50 percent support threshold in all three battlegrounds, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of these states.

In both Colorado and Wisconsin, Obama is ahead by 5 points among likely voters (including those learning toward a candidate), 50 percent to 45 percent.

And in Iowa, the president’s edge over Romney is 8 points, 50 percent to 42 percent.

I have to agree with radio lefty, Norman Goldman, how can Romney expect to win this and he is not campaigning?

This is one vague and weird presidential campaign I have ever witnessed. Romney actually believe that he can just carpet bomb these swing states, that daily DON'T look swing and become president on nothing? Well, we are witnessing the voters decision become HARD towards Romney, thanks to Romney doing himself in. While, his campaign is saying the public want more MITT!!! Seriously, after all your own bullshit has blown in the wind for all of us to smell it? Good Luck.

Next stop, the Republicans will run to the mattresses to save their own asses and say the hell with Mitt Romney.

More from the poll:

A plurality of likely voters view Romney in a negative light in all three states. In Colorado, it’s 43 percent favorable to 50 percent unfavorable; in Iowa, it’s 42 percent to 50 percent; and in Wisconsin, it’s 43 percent to 46 percent.

By contrast, out of last week’s polls in Florida, Ohio and Virginia, just one of them – Ohio – found Romney’s favorable/unfavorable rating under water.

Lastly, Chuck Todd from NBC/MSNBC blasted Mitt Romney for not even CAMPAIGNING!! Seriously, this man thought he could run a ONE NOTE campaign, deliver no specifics and folks will flock to him. I think he is toast, but that does not mean we sit on our laurels and don't get this vote out. We double down and get every vote out!!

And the bonus, from Lawrence O'Donnell, The Last Word from last night:

All about Mitt and Ann Romney LYING. And you think you can win the people's vote by constantly lying? Good Luck and soon GOOD RIDDANCE.

NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll Numbers

More Bad News for Romney from CNN/ORC Poll

Obama up 6 with likely voters and up 8 with registered voters. This is a clear indication with all the other polling out that Mitt Romney needs to drastically change the direction of his campaign or could face a blowout in November.

In all reality, this race never felt close to me for many reason, but mainly because of a very unpopular candidate. Remember, people vote for who they like in the end and this is a clear detriment to Mitt Romney.

Read all the polling information, here.

AWWWWWW, FREAK OUT!!!!

New Memo Confirms That The Romney Camp Is Starting To Freak Out About Polls

I just HAD to go there....

As new tracking polls show President Barack Obama benefiting from a big post-convention bounce, Mitt Romney's presidential campaign is starting to sound a little bit panicky.

In a new campaign memo circulated this morning, Romney's pollster Neil Newhouse warns people not to get "too worked up about the latest polling."

Well, they SHOULD be worried, remember the RNC Chairman Priebus stated that Mitt Romney would get a SIGNIFICANT bounce from his convention. Well, we all know that did not happen after that disastrous convention. So, in all honesty with less than 60 days left, Romney Camp should be very worried. Read it all, here.

This is why the negative attack ads will be coming to your television set, SOON...

Here's The Most Important Post-Convention Bump For Obama That Puts Him In A Great Spot For Re-Election

Yes, the Mitt Romney Campaign should be very afraid....

Obama's approval rating in Gallup now stands at 52 percent — above the 50 percent mark that usually nearly ensures re-election. Moreover, his disapproval rating has dropped to just 42 percent.

Pre-convention, Obama's approval-to-disapproval rating stood at 45 percent to 48 percent. That means it has swung 13 points during and in the aftermath of the convention.

The last time Obama was at 52 percent was during the three-day period of May 23-25, 2011.

Obama's approval rating also jumped to the same 52 percent mark in Rasmussen's daily tracking poll, while 47 percent disapprove. That compares to a 48-52 approval-to-disapproval split the day the convention started.

Folks, get ready because the ads that will run in swing states will be unfactchecked, mostly divisive, racially tinged and down right hateful.

Which means getting out the vote is more critical than ever.

Link

The real question is how big of a bounce will Obama get after the DNC Convention?

Although the job numbers were not great, 96K created, with the unemployment number ticking downward to 8.1% it still indicates that the economy is anemic. It also indicates that the general public has gotten used to the economy trekking slowly along and though the economy is the number one issue, it is turning out to be not the only issue with voters.

The conventional wisdom was that Friday's jobs report was suppose to stomp all over the President's speech and/or the whole tenure of the Democratic Convention. That is not happening.

On Friday, we began to see reasonably clear signs that President Obama would receive some kind of bounce in the polls from the Democratic convention.

Mr. Obama had another strong day in the polls on Saturday, making further gains in each of four national tracking polls. The question now is not whether Mr. Obama will get a bounce in the polls, but how substantial it will be.

While everyone is in agreement that the economy is still very anemic, the American Public also has witnessed a vitriolic congress who has been unwilling to work to move this country forward. Mitt Romney have not helped his cause of why he should capture the White House and his Republican congress has not helped their cause as to why they should retain power in congress.

Plainly, Mitt Romney is not a strong candidate. The public has heard every flip flop from him and the dogging tax issue remains a question and mystery to many Americans. Clearly, there is a trust issue when you look at Mitt Romney. The Congressional Republicans have not helped their cause either. The continuous lack of clear leadership opened up a can of worms when their celebrity kingpin, Rush Limbaugh went after Sandra Fluke when she spoke up on behalf of women's reproductive issues. The tepid response from GOP leaders have lit an angry fire for women. Along with the Rick Santorum talk about banning birth control have led women further away from the GOP. Then let us not forget the words of Congressman Todd Akin (R-MO) who is the Republican Senate Candidate. He really said that legitimate rape victims bodies can shut down pregnancies. Legitimate? That alone has made millions of women question these crazy MEN in the Republican Party and their judgment on the concern of women's health.

Add all this in with the spectacular diverse presentation of the Democratic Convention, the public is viewing Romney and the Republicans, less and less. When you run towards the crazy rhetoric of the far right, which Romney has embraced, you will continue to exclude the very voters you need. Women, minorities, LGBT communities, students it is these very groups that the Republican Party has went after with disdain and it is these groups that will turn the Republican Party away, along with Mitt Romney in November.

Lastly, will the bump hold? Who knows, but with President Obama extending his lead and there is less than 60 days to the ballot box, this can not be good news for Mitt Romney.

Obama and the polls a year later, not looking good

Again, Barack Obama and his mismanagement of the health care debate is a major reason why his poll numbers are where it is at, along with siding with the continuous bailouts of Wall Street, banks, automotive industry with NO RELIEF for Main Street. This equals anger out here and it is real. Barack Obama has done some good things, moving towards transparency, putting science first, standing with the military, movement in changing the education system, looking forward to climate change. But Obama must show more LEADERSHIP come 2010 because for many he lacked it in 2009. Sure, he had divisive people like the Republicans in his way, but they were always going to be there, Barack Obama must convey to this country what EXACTLY he wants, but more importantly he must DELIVER. And jobs? People don't believe this White House is focused on it, it clearly is displayed in the polling numbers. With no jobs, losing jobs, fear of losing jobs and the White House nonchalant to many, this is why the numbers are shitty.

Remember, people voted for Barack Obama on his agenda not for what is coming out of the White House now. So, if the middle class, independents, young, and many other are angry all Barack Obama needs to look at is right in his White House.

Until his behavior change, remove some people change, these polling numbers are going to continue to erode.

Wake up, Barack Obama. You are not on the ballot in 2010 but the WHOLE DEMOCRATIC PARTY is and if it is a bloodbath for Democrats, the blame will be put squarely on your shoulders.

The anger is real out here and our President better get in touch or we are talking bad times in 2010 for the Democratic Party.

From morning joe:



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Republicans, listen up, "Keep acting a fool over the Olympics, Nobel Peace Prize, if you want..."

In the meantime, the President's polling numbers are going up.

Conservatives and Republicans cheering that the United States of America lost the Olympic bid was epic FAILURE, on your part. Who in their right mind goes against their own country? That bitterness surely is not sitting well in the heart land.

Conservatives and Republicans whining and having a hissy fit over President Obama being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize does not bode well for you, either. Mr. Obama did not campaign for this award, had no idea that he would get this award, but to react like the sun and moon was falling from the sky, that behavior is a bit much. As Americans, we should be PROUD of our President receiving this monumental award. It has proven that the United States of America is moving in a new direction, away from the disastrous George W. Bush era. Your nastiness is not helping your party, one bit. Especially for the elusive independent voter, who thinks that your rhetoric is bat shit crazy!!!

For all this, the conservatives and the republicans have awarded President Obama with higher poll numbers, across the board, and believe me he is truly grateful.

Gallup

CBS

Ipsos/McClatchey

AP/GfK

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Obama's numbers continue to decline

Several polls out have come to the same conclusion, Obama and the Democrats numbers are in a decline.

Gallup has him at 50 on their daily tracking poll, while Research 2000 at 55.

President Obama's favorabilities dropped the most substantially this week, propelled by another three-point drop in support from Democrats (down to 80%, the lowest of his presidency), as well as a big shift among Independents (from 66% last week to 62% this week).

Much of this is due to the left's anger at a confusing position taken by the White House and Democrats with talk of removing the public option from the health care bill. The independents also, due to non-clarity from the White House and Democrats on health care reform.

Again, we all knew that the GOP operatives would be out in full force against any health care reform, yet the Democrats have been on the slow turtle road in response and rebuke. When you let misinformation just sit out there with no response, people who do not know all the issues, will start to believe it. The Democrats have done a very poor job here, especially when the Republican Party has offered nothing in any form of health care reform, but has pounded so hard that all this negativity has not done much for them in the polling numbers either. The Republicans can bring down the Obama and Democrats numbers, but in the end they must offer something to the public as policy, thus far they are vacant on that front.

Lastly, Nate Sliver over at 538.com wrote a piece that most Americans don't know or understand what the public option is. At this stage, bad.

A new survey by Penn, Schoen and Berland Associates for the AARP reveals widespread uncertainty about the nature of the "public option" -- a government-run health insurance policy that would be offered along with private policies in the newly-created health insurance exchanges. Just 37 percent of the poll's respondents correctly identified the public option from a list of three choices provided to them:

While there is all this anger that many Democrats are receiving due totally to misinformation at these town hall meetings, to have just 37% recognize what the public option is, totally lies at the feet of the Democrats and their poor messaging.

I do believe that once a bill is passed, with the public option and the Democrats can explain it, properly, the numbers will reverse. It is all this miscommunication from the White House and Democratic Leadership that sees us where we are at.

This is definitely an education for Obama White House to not have a Chief of Staff totally dis your supporters, to not stand by like "deer in headlights" hoping all the criticism of your plan will go away, and to have a counter attack ready in the future because if the Republicans are successful, this will happen again.

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What you don't want to read....

by Nate Silver....

As I've been telling people all week here in Pittsburgh, there's ample reason for Democrats to be worried -- perhaps deeply so -- about 2010. Without major intervening events like 9/11, the party that wins the White House almost always loses seats at the midterm elections -- since World War II, an average of 17 seats in the House after the White House changes parties. Democrats have substantially more seats to defend than Republicans, particularly in the House. They appear to face a significant enthusiasm gap after having dominated virtually all close elections in 2006 and 2008. And the economy and health care are contingencies that could work either way, but which probably present more downside risk to Democrats than upside over the next 12-18 months, particularly if some version of health care reform fails to pass. While the Democrats are not extraordinary likely to lose the House, such an outcome is certainly well within the realm of possibility (I'd put the chance at somewhere between 1-in-4 and 1-in-3). The Senate picture is a bit brighter for them, but they are probably more likely now to lose seats in the chamber than to add to their majority, in spite of the spate of Republican retirements in Ohio, Missouri and other states. In a wave-type election, a net loss of as many as 4-6 seats is conceivable.

With all that said, I would reserve some healthy skepticism for polls that apply aggressive "likely voter" models to elections like the midterms that won't occur for another 16 months. In Pennsylvania, for example, Rasmussen now finds Arlen Specter a 12-point underdog to Pat Toomey among what they define as likely voters. Toomey also leads a more "generic" Democrat, Specter's primary rival Joe Sestak, by 8 points in Rasmussen's polling. By contrast, Research 2000, which in its polling for Daily Kos also uses a likely voter model (but evidently a less aggressive one), puts Specter 5 points ahead of Toomey and Sestak one point ahead of the Republican. These numbers represent big downward shifts for the Democrats, particularly in Specter's case, since Research 2000 last polled the race in May. But obviously, there is a big difference between Specter's -12 number under Rasmussen's likely voter model and his +5 under Research 2000's. read more here....

The only way to win more seats is for the public to continue to reject the Republicans MORE. This is the argument that the Democratic Party must make.

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Polls Down for Obama (Video)

I am not paying too much attention to this because it is the summer and folks are busy, but advice to the White House, "Don't have Joe Biden on any Sunday programs implying that you don't know what you are doing about the economy!!" That idiotic statement is getting traction and the Republicans are jumping all over it. Sure, who is listening to the Republicans, but remember this is politics and a fallen giant can always rebound and come back.

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Bad Poll Numbers for Obama on the economy in Ohio

I don't care what anyone says. When Joe Biden went on "This Week" and said, "We misread the economy", he created a talking point against this administration about the economy.

Also, don't think that the jobless, unemployment numbers are not a worry for this administration. It is a huge worry. Everytime Americans hear more folks on the unemployment rolls, they become more conscientious of their own jobs, money, etc. And everytime someone gets a pink slip that is creating more anxiety out here.

Sure we all know that Obama inherited this mess, but you can only blame the Bush Administration for so long. Eventually, this adminstration must have some hits coming with this economy and hope for job erosion to slow down. Again, the stimulus package is either a win or a bust. We will know by next year, I hope.

President Barack Obama's approval rating in Ohio has fallen rapidly in the past months.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,259 voters in Ohio from June 26 to July 7. The poll found that 49% of voters disapprove of the job Obama is doing, while 44% approve.

That is 13 points down from May, when a separate Quinnipiac poll found a 62% approval rating and a 31% disapproval rating.

The most recent Quinnipiac poll also surveyed voters on Obama's handling of the economy, finding 48% disapproval and 46% approval. In May, Obama received a 57% approval rating on the economy.

Source

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Another poll, Washington Post, puts Obama at 65%

Which makes me question the NBC/WSJ Poll. And now on television you hear the change of Obama being rated at 56% to 65%. In other words, he is at high 60s.

The tempered public outlook has not significantly affected Obama's overall standing, which at 65 percent approval in the new survey outpaces the ratings of former Presidents George W. Bush and Bill Clinton at similar points in their presidencies. But new questions about the stimulus package's effectiveness underscore the stakes for the Obama administration in the months ahead, as it pushes for big reforms in health care and energy on top of the singular issue of the nation's flagging economy.

Obama maintains leverage on these issues in part because of the continuing weakness of his opposition. The survey found the favorability ratings of congressional Republicans at their lowest point in polls dating back more than a decade. Obama also has significant advantages over Republican lawmakers in terms of public trust on dealing with the economy, health care, the deficit and the threat of terrorism, all despite broad-based GOP criticism of his early actions on these fronts.

With unemployment projected to continue rising and fears that the big run-up in stock prices since February may have been a temporary trend, fixing the economy remains the most critical issue of Obama's presidency -- and retaining public confidence in his policies is an important element of his recovery strategy.

Overall, 52 percent now say the stimulus package has or will succeed in restoring the economy, down from 59 percent two months ago. The falloff in confidence in the stimulus package has been sharpest in the hard-hit Midwest, where fewer than half now see the government spending as succeeding. In April, six in 10 Midwesterners said the big, federal program had already worked or eventually would do so.

And the Republicans? LOWEST VIEW FROM THE PUBLIC EVER!!

The state of the Republican Party remains grim. Just 22 percent of those surveyed identified themselves as Republicans, near April's decades-long low point. Only 36 percent said they have a favorable impression of the GOP, with 56 percent saying they have an unfavorable impression. (Fifty-three percent said they have a favorable view of the Democratic Party.)

Obama has greater than 20-point leads over congressional Republicans in public trust on dealing with health care, the deficit, terrorism and the economy. The margin on the economy has slipped since April, but still remains a hefty 55 percent to 31 percent over GOP lawmakers.

read all of it hear

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Democrats must have the political will to pass sweeping health care reform

If anyone thinks the Republicans will be in the Democrats corner, THINK AGAIN. And co-ops? Forget that noise. The public wants a SOLID PUBLIC OPTION. PERIOD. Poll after poll indicates this. If we can spend 10B a month since 2003 in Iraq, and look how THAT turned out, you mean to tell me we can not invest in the people of this country?

D.C. Senators, the public totally GET THAT ONE.

Emboldened by polls that show public backing for a government health insurance plan, Democrats are moving to make it a politically defining issue in the debate over the future of medical care.

Behind-the-scenes attempts to get a deal with Republicans on nonprofit co-ops as an alternative to a public plan have led only to frustration, complains a key Democrat. He and his colleagues may have to go it alone, said Sen. Chuck Schumer.

The co-ops were seen as perhaps the last hope for compromise on a contentious issue that threatens any remaining prospects of bipartisan support for President Barack Obama's sweeping plan to remake the health care system.

"I don't think I could say with a straight face that this (co-op proposal) is at all close to a nationwide public option," Schumer, D-N.Y., told The Associated Press on Sunday. "Right now, this co-op idea doesn't come close to satisfying anyone who wants a public plan." read more here....

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Senator Evan Bayh's (D-IN) concern trolling about Obama and his agenda (Video)

from morning joe....

I am highlighting this because the man was touted as a possible VP pick and thank GOD he was NOT picked. Don't expect him on the side for PUBLIC OPTION in the health care battle. Remember, I told you.

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Howard Dean on Obama's Poll Numbers (Video)

NBC, MSNBC all over the down poll numbers, while CBS/NYT poll numbers came out yesterday, and had him at 63%. And George W. Bush starting to bash Obama? Please. He has no credibility at all.

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Obama takes a hit in the polls, but the public wants PUBLIC OPTION in the health care bill (UPDATE)

With the continuous noise from the right, it is to be expected, but the Republicans have not gained any ground despite the question of the blowing deficit and the money being spent by Obama. And the public does not blame Obama for what he inherited, it is still being blamed on Bush, by the public.

As far as public option:

On health care, the public remains open to persuasion. Without being told anything specific about the Obama plan in the survey, about a third of people said it's a good idea, about a third said it's a bad idea and the rest had no opinion. When given several details of his approach, 55% said they favored it, versus 35% who were opposed.

There was also support for the Democratic push to let people sign up for a public health-care plan that would compete with private companies, one of the toughest issues in the health-care debate. Three in four people said a public plan is extremely or quite important.

Finally, for the Republicans? They have no message.

[UPDATE]

CBS/NYT poll has Obama at 63%. But like the WSJ/NBC poll, the public has disdain for the Republican Party.

The Democratic Party is currently far enjoys far more popularity than its Republican opposition. Fifty-seven percent of Americans have a favorable view of the Democratic Party, while just 28 percent have a favorable view of the Republican Party. And while Democrats are united - 90 percent approve of their party - just 64 percent of Republicans approve of the Republican Party. Independents have a far more favorable view of the Democratic Party (51 percent approve) than the Republican Party (28 percent approve.)

Read it all, here.

Source

While FOX is hating on Obama, their poll shows the public DO NOT

The heads are EXPLODING at FOX...

Most Americans are unhappy with the actions the federal government has taken with General Motors, and people are uncertain about GM's future — even with the government's help, according to a FOX News poll released Thursday.

Considering economic conditions overall, most people say things haven't been this bad since the Great Depression. Views are split, however, over whether the economy is getting better or worse.

President Barack Obama continues to enjoy high job approval ratings — 62 percent of Americans approve and 31 percent disapprove. Last month 60 percent approved and 30 percent disapproved (May 12-13, 2009). Obama's average approval since taking office is 61 percent.

Full breakdown and tabs, here.

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Republicans are spiraling out of control, a new Gallup/USA Poll

Nothing new here.

No one is listening to the Republican Party and all these talk show hosts, etc., are not helping the party, either.

Republicans, out of power and divided over how to get it back, are finding even the most basic questions hard to answer.
Here's one: Who speaks for the GOP?

The question flummoxes most Americans, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, which is among the reasons for the party's sagging state and uncertain direction.

A 52% majority of those surveyed couldn't come up with a name when asked to specify "the main person" who speaks for Republicans today. Of those who could, the top response was radio talk show host Rush Limbaugh (13%), followed in order by former vice president Dick Cheney, Arizona Sen. John McCain and former House speaker Newt Gingrich. Former president George W. Bush ranked fifth, at 3%.

So the dominant faces of the Republican Party are all men, all white, all conservative and all old enough to join AARP, ranging in age from 58 (Limbaugh) to 72 (McCain). They include some of the country's most strident voices on issues from Sonia Sotomayor's nomination to the Supreme Court to President Obama's policies at home and abroad. Two are retired from politics, and one has never been a candidate.

The emphasis above is mine's. That is the problem with the Republican Party, old white men: male, stale and pale. That sums the party up. And going forward, that is a very small minority and not enough to attract new voters, minorities, women, etc., to win national elections. That is a death nail. for real.

Read it all here

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